星期三   2018-08-15
国际风云

文章

文章

83 0 作者:老铁没毛病哦

Crisis of open rules-based global order

There is little dispute that the liberal, rules-based global order is unraveling.

647 0 作者:GT Opinion

军事防务

美售台F-35先进战机风声骤起

美售台F-35先进战机风声骤起

634 0 作者:中评社

Are Cold War Spy-Craft Norms Fading?

A growing list of brazen foreign operations signals that there are few constraints on Russian intelligence under Vladimir Putin’s leadership.

299 0 作者:Jonathan Masters

China, the South China Sea and North Korea

The United States needs to diplomatically engage China over the South China Sea to reduce tensions, build trust, and achieve a quick and lasting solution to the North Korea problem.

379 0 作者:Quinn Marschik

Ending the War in Afghanistan: A Diplomatic Perspective

At the end of the day, three things are necessary for a diplomatic solution: a modality (that is, a way for the opponents to talk to each other); a formula (the substantive solution to the problem); and the political will to succeed. The last is always the most elusive, but there are reasons to believe that in this case all sides recognize the need at least for negotiations. There is every reason to proceed with establishing a peace process.

204 0 作者: Richard Olson

Terrorism is Local

On the 20th of December 2017, federal law enforcement agents executed a search warrant at the residence of Everitt Aaron Jameson in Modesto, California, disrupting his plans to use some combination of a heavy vehicle, explosives, and firearms to kill Christmas shoppers at San Francisco’s famous Pier 39. Jameson’s case is part of a recent trend in terrorist activity in the United States and can serve to address three facets of contemporary domestic terrorism, specifically:

240 0 作者:Scott Englund

Russia’s State Armament Programme 2027: a more measured course on procurement

Russia is close to concluding its next ten-year armament programme, with a more modest level of re-equipment ambition.

264 0 作者: Douglas Barrie

财经贸易

Trump wins the first round in US-China trade war

Trump is winning

2757 0 作者:Hill

Why US-China trade talks will struggle to reach 'grand bargain'

A grand bargain is hard

789 0 作者:CNN

Can the US actually win a trade war?

The Trump administration has just announced tariffs amounting to about 15 billion dollars’ worth of imports on Chinese trade with the U.S.. The reason ostensibly for the tariff is that China has not been playing fairly in terms of trade.

571 1 作者:Eswar Prasad

中美贸易冲突根源不在贸易而在情绪

近期,美国以中美贸易不平衡为由,威胁要对中国600亿美元商品征收高额关税,由此引起全球资本市场剧烈波动,也激起中国和其他世贸组织成员的强烈愤怒。4月2日,中国宣布对原产美国的128项商品加征15%或25%的关税。中美贸易摩擦与矛盾的根源在哪里?贸易冲突还将持续多久?为改善现状,中国在哪些方面可有所作为?西南财经大学经济与管理研究院院长、中国家庭金融调查与研究中心主任甘犁教授对上述问题做了研判。

352 0 作者:甘犁

科技智能

人工智能再下一城:机器翻译提前7年达到人类专业翻译水平

由微软亚洲研究院与雷德蒙研究院的研究人员组成的团队今天宣布,其研发的机器翻译系统在通用新闻报道的中译英测试集上,达到了人类专业译者水平。这是首个在新闻报道的翻译质量和准确率上媲美人类专业译者的翻译系统。

273 0 作者:新智元:AI-era

人工智能再下一城:机器翻译提前7年达到人类专业翻译水平

由微软亚洲研究院与雷德蒙研究院的研究人员组成的团队今天宣布,其研发的机器翻译系统在通用新闻报道的中译英测试集上,达到了人类专业译者水平。这是首个在新闻报道的翻译质量和准确率上媲美人类专业译者的翻译系统。

192 0 作者:闻菲

The Laws of Artificial Intelligence: Dispelling Common Myths

​AI has existed since the birth of computers. It has been around long enough that it has had periods of excitement where some leading experts make extraordinary claims.

233 0 作者:Peter J. Bentley

How to Keep Up with What's Happening in China

This is a list of resources that I have found helpful for staying in touch with what’s happening in China

424 0 作者:Zara Zhang

全球扶贫

Foresight Africa viewpoint – Nutrition security: The last mile of Africa’s food security agenda

The high dependence on locally produced food limits dietary diversity, notably in settings where people primarily consume what they produce.

207 0 作者:Eyerusalem Siba

Leave no country behind: Ending poverty in the toughest places

The past 15 years saw the most rapid decline in global poverty ever, with the Millennium Development Goals (MDG) of halving the global poverty rate reached several years ahead of schedule. Building on this, governments around the world committed to a new set of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), including ending extreme poverty everywhere by 2030

184 0 作者:Geoffrey Gertz; Homi Kharas

老挝乡村贫困的省思——以琅勃拉邦省南巴县N村为例

贫困问题一直是制约老挝发展的重大问题。以往老挝的贫困研究多从政府政策、资源争夺、市场供求等结构因素进行探讨,缺乏对地方性知识的关注。本文借助贫困研究的文化和结构两种解释路径,以老挝北部佬族村寨为例,论述了老挝乡村贫困的双层逻辑:一方面,老挝乡村贫困人口受传统财富观、自然伦理、生活习惯、家庭内在矛盾和社会潜在问题等文化因素影响,在市场经济秩序中的财富积累是缓慢的,对摩托车等现代商品的象征性消费也是透支的;另一方面,老挝乡村的贫困问题还受制于赌博、吸毒、市场化冲击、历史遗留问题等结构因素的影响。

319 0 作者:张恩迅

澳官员说中国援建南太平洋“大而无用”,我们去看了看

针对澳大利亚一名官员攻击中国在南太平洋地区的援建“大而无用”“为建而建”“附加不利的金融条款”等,中国外交部发言人15日再度回应称,发表上述言论的人心态可能有问题,无中生有的指责实际上是不愿看到太平洋岛国实现自主可持续发展。

677 0 作者:陈晓晨;吕桂霞

America's Hidden Poverty Problem

America has Hidden Poverty Problem

289 0 作者: Rachel Black

YOUTH, POVERTY, AND CONFLICT IN SOUTHEAST ASIAN CITIES

The growth of youth populations in cities around the developing world poses a particular obstacle to urban development and serious challenges to local government.

264 0 作者:LISA M. HANLEY AND JOSEPH S.TULCHIN

Trump wins the first round in US-China trade war

Trump is winning

Why US-China trade talks will struggle to reach 'grand bargain'

A grand bargain is hard

Crisis of open rules-based global order

There is little dispute that the liberal, rules-based global order is unraveling.

Adapting to American Decline

It is time to manage the transition

The West’s crisis of confidence

International Order is disorderly

U.S. politicians get China in Africa all wrong

China benefits Africa

‘The rules-based global order’: be alert and alarmed

It is time to be alarmed

Can the US actually win a trade war?

The Trump administration has just announced tariffs amounting to about 15 billion dollars’ worth of imports on Chinese trade with the U.S.. The reason ostensibly for the tariff is that China has not been playing fairly in terms of trade.

How China’s proposed tariffs could affect U.S. workers and industries

The Trump administration’s tit-for-tat with Beijing over potential tariffs has captivated global audiences. Trade experts, diplomats, and news organizations are all fulminating about the high-level performance art being played out by the world’s two largest economies.

Understanding the Challenge from China

The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy (NSS) characterizes China as a “revisionist power” that is “attempting to erode American security and prosperity” and “shape a world antithetical to US values and interests.”1 The accompanying National Defense Strategy (NDS) adds that Beijing seeks “veto authority over other nations’ economic, diplomatic, and security decisions” and is modernizing its military in pursuit of “Indo-Pacific regional hegemony in the near-term and displacement of the United States to achieve global preeminence in the future.”2 It is true that China represents an unprecedented strategic challenge to the United States and its allies, especially within East Asia. But these documents reflect a stereotype of Beijing and little effort to understand what actually motivates Chinese behavior. Moreover, preoccupation with China as a traditional, Cold War-style ideological or security threat is hindering both an accurate recognition of the nature of the China challenge, and the development of a thoughtful strategic response to it that effectively serves US and allied interests. By misidentifying what China is fundamentally about, the NSS and NDS risk leading Washington down a path that is misguided, prohibitively expensive, and counterproductive.

Tariff fight could hit GOP in key Senate states

GOP might lose in November

美售台F-35先进战机风声骤起

美售台F-35先进战机风声骤起

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政治秩序

Liberals, You’re Not as Smart as You Think

Liberals are not as smart as they think

1291 1 作者:NYT Opinion

It’s Time For The United States To Divorce Before Things Get Dangerous

This idea of breaking up the country may seem a bit outlandish now, but you won’t think so once real domestic unrest comes to your town.

409 0 作者:Jesse Kelly

A Dangerous Trump Spring

Donald Trump’s disregard for liberal democratic values is weakening the institutional pillars of the world order that the US itself had long championed. Only if the world’s other liberal democracies cooperate to push back against the US can the international community hope to hold on until more responsible American leadership returns.

219 0 作者:CHRIS PATTEN

Principled Realism: Interests and Ideology

President Donald Trump’s first National Security Strategy opens with a description of its underlying philosophy, “Principled Realism

227 0 作者:Scott Englund